Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent events. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets consecutively (if that maybe what your issue is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the particular 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.
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